November 26, 2020, 03:50:00 pm

Recent posts

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21
General Discussion / Re: A song I wrote and perform...
Last post by Bryan - September 13, 2020, 09:24:37 am
EDIT- this is the finished version

https://youtu.be/UNYplmCYdxU
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Deeper Fellowship / Best advice you ever received ...
Last post by Bryan - September 12, 2020, 08:17:23 pm
What is one piece of advice you have received concerning your walk with the Lord that has had the most impact on your relationship?

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General Discussion / A song I wrote and performed, ...
Last post by Bryan - September 12, 2020, 08:01:45 pm
I've posted this before, quite some time ago actually, but it was not nearly done.  I sanded it over quite a bit and I think I"m ok with the finished result.  Not a professional by any stretch but I love music and I enjoyed this song!  Take a listen if you would like:

https://youtu.be/UNYplmCYdxU
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General Discussion / President Trump's Middle East ...
Last post by Bryan - September 11, 2020, 02:20:27 pm
Like him or dislike him, the man is getting results.  Announced just a bit ago that now Bahrain is normalizing relations with Israel.  Of course just a few weeks ago the UAE did so.  What is he doing so right that others have done so wrong?  Either way, this is quite remarkable and noteworthy for sure!
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General Discussion / Re: What to make of the hyper ...
Last post by Pete - September 10, 2020, 05:46:22 pm
Obviously, you and I have very different opinions on this topic, Jim.

Firstly, I don't for a moment believe that the church was successfully closed for months. I can speak only for my church and the other churches here in our small town, but the reach of our ministry was actually broadened more than we could have dreamed possible. Rather than whining about the church closing, we opened up Zoom meetings, which provided a unique opportunity to minister to people who could have never been ministered to otherwise. Upon returning to in-person church services, we immediately started live streaming. Suddenly we're reaching hundreds of people we would never have been able to minister to before, including our very own Jo, thousands of miles away. This has resulted in church growth that we haven't seen in quite some time. Also, our church's income INCREASED pretty drastically during the shutdown. The logic doesn't even follow. If the purpose was to shut down the church, the absolute worst thing you could do is push churches to do online streaming, as that makes it even easier for people to hear the Gospel and for people to support those ministries they follow.

Secondly, there are many data-driven reasons that I believe the lockdowns were overreaching, but "lording it over us" isn't one of them. I think the pandemic is being utilized as a political sledgehammer by all sides of the political spectrum. Opportunist is the word I would use. And whatever is politically expedient for the fleeting moment is what politicians will do.

Thirdly, it's very true that we have a President that is challenging the status quo, but absolutely not in a good way, IMO. This President cares about exactly one thing, and that is his own narcissism. Our President isn't the least bit interested in challenging the status quo in politics. He is interested in whatever benefits him personally at the moment. He'll tell you what you want to hear so long as he thinks it benefits him. As soon as it's no longer politically beneficial, he'll change with the political tides. That should concern people of character and integrity. I don't believe our President has any true convictions. He says what people want to hear when they want to hear it until they don't want to hear it anymore. I suppose you could take the position that even if he doesn't possess a moral compass and doesn't have any real convictions that at least he'll do what you want him to do, but that's some seriously shifting sand to base your hopes on, IMO.

O0
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General Discussion / Re: What to make of the hyper ...
Last post by jiminpa - September 10, 2020, 12:47:47 pm
Politics in the US have enjoyed a nice unhealthy status quo for decades, but these are people who want to dictate to us how we live our own lives. They successfully closed every single church in America for months. God did not do that. It violates his instruction. Do you think that these power hungry politicians are going to just forget how easy it is to lord over us all? Like him or not, we have a president who is challenging that status quo, and the status quo is doing everything to stay in place.
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General Discussion / Re: What to make of the hyper ...
Last post by jiminpa - September 10, 2020, 12:35:28 pm
Proverbs 29:2
Amplified Bible, Classic Edition
2 When the [uncompromisingly] righteous are in authority, the people rejoice; but when the wicked man rules, the people groan and sigh.
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General Discussion / Re: Back to COVID
Last post by JohnDB - September 04, 2020, 03:33:47 pm
Here's a website that shows how the accident rate has gone up...

https://www-doh.state.nj.us/doh-shad/topic/Mortality.html
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General Discussion / Re: Back to COVID
Last post by JohnDB - September 04, 2020, 03:24:50 pm
From the CDC
In 2018, a total of 2,839,205 resident deaths were registered in the United States--25,702 more deaths than in 2017. From 2017 to 2018, the age-adjusted death rate for the total population decreased 1.1%, and life expectancy at birth increased 0.1 year. Age-specific death rates between 2017 and 2018 decreased for age groups 15-24, 25-34, 45-54, 65-74, 75-84, and 85 and over.

The 10 leading causes of death in 2018 remained the same as in 2017. Age-adjusted death rates decreased for six leading causes and increased for two. Life expectancy at birth increased 0.1 year from 78.6 years in 2017 to 78.7 in 2018, largely because of decreases in mortality from cancer, unintentional injuries, chronic lower respiratory diseases, and heart disease. After increasing 0.2 year between 2010 and 2014, life expectancy decreased 0.3 year between 2014 and 2017 (2). The 0.1-year increase in the 2018 life expectancy estimate for the total population results in the same estimate before the increase began (78.7 in 2010), and is 0.2 year below the peak life expectancy of 78.9 in 2014.

In 2018, a total of 21,467 deaths occurred in children under 1 year, which was 868 fewer infant deaths than in 2017. The leading causes of infant death were the same in 2018 and 2017. The IMR decreased for 2 (unintentional injuries and cord and placental complications) of the 10 leading causes of infant death.


Now that just talks about a single year.

However I am trying to look for myself at the trends...

Apparently according to this website:
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/death-rate

We are having an annual increase in mortality rates....have been since 2009 for some reason. Change has been steadily increasing. But it's not been drastic.

Now before this we were enjoying a nice and steady decline.

I was trying to think of what happened...what could have happened to cause the changes...

The article above tells it but we just don't see it.

Cell phones happened...not the kind that you simply talk on but the kind that you can text and read websites on... like facebook... while driving.

Accident driven deaths have been steadily increasing.
Now with all the Covid-19 quarantines in place we have far fewer people on the road...but home improvement tasks have taken up the slack...as well as a couple hundred thousand people dieing in a pandemic...so we aren't on pace to change anything anytime soon.
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General Discussion / Re: What to make of the hyper ...
Last post by Bryan - September 03, 2020, 04:30:47 pm
I've always been a pretty firm believer that Christians (and really any religion) should stay out of politics.  Theocracies of any sort can be destructive.  I actually think this is what Peter & Paul meant when they wrote about honoring the king and praying for leaders, etc.  They didn't say form a local protest group, or get active in politics, but pray and obey (in other words, leave that stuff to God).  God is after all the one who put that leader in that position so in a sense we disobey God when we disobey leaders.

Now that may be an extreme take on that and I respect those who are believers that are politicians, I just don't think it's appropriate.  Politics can be so so toxic
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